New COVID-19 cases in Niagara are declining, but will they stay there?

By Don Redmond

Published on March 21, 2022 at 2:54 PM

Will the mask mandate being scrapped in Niagara schools see another surge in COVID-19 cases?

While it looks like new COVID-19 cases in Niagara are declining, it will be another month before the region’s health is truly under control.

It has certainly been on the decline for the past three days, but a quick look at the past 28 days (chart below) will tell you that February and March have fluctuated up and down with no discernible pattern.

When Niagara registered 79 new cases on Saturday (March 19), there had certainly been other days that surpassed that number in the four-week period.

Likewise, today’s 41 new cases were far from the lowest Niagara has been at at four days lower than that of the past 28 days.

The lesson is that just because it’s low today Niagara doesn’t mean it will stay low, just as the region’s higher dates can fall the next day. It’s just not a rhyme or reason for the numbers.

The current removal of the mask mandates by the province may or may not play a role in a possible increase in the number of cases in the region, especially since both Niagara school boards had dropped the mask rule in their schools just as children were returning from the March break.

Two new deaths have been reported since late last week, bringing the death toll to 524.

Locally, there was also an increase in the number of hospitalizations for COVID-19: 14 patients are mainly being treated for the virus and three are being cared for in the ICU.

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