The Federal Reserve’s efforts to tame runaway inflation appear to be working, but there is still a long way to go. Investors rejoiced on Tuesday, sending stocks higher after the release of a fifth-straight monthly consumer-inflation reading that showed diminishing price gains. Expect Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to temper the market’s enthusiasm, however, when he … Read more
The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its benchmark interest rate steady instead of raising the federal funds by a half percentage point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, as expected at its meeting that ends Wednesday. With the relatively benign report on the consumer … Read more
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Now, a growing crowd is betting on exactly that happening. Mutual funds and hedge funds managing roughly $4.8 trillion in assets have been putting money into stocks that stand to benefit from inflation cooling, interest rates going down and the U.S. economy avoiding a recession, according to an analysis by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The … Read more
The Federal Reserve can’t see the probable economic crash that is coming because it’s still looking into the rearview mirror, where it sees nothing but high inflation. The danger arises because the consumer price index and the personal consumption expenditure price index — the two most important inflation gauges — have a fatal flaw in … Read more
Dividend stocks are facing stiffer competition, thanks to a big spike in bond yields. A risk-free 10-Year Treasury note was recently yielding 3.7%, up from 1.63% at the start of 2021. That’s well above the S&P 500 index’s dividend yield of 1.76%, making bonds more attractive for income investors. But this isn’t the time to … Read more
Text size Japan has had to intervene to support the sliding yen for the first time since 1998, even as it tries to keep its interest rates low. Akio Kon/Bloomberg The world has been hooked on cheap money for years. Now we’re witnessing what withdrawal looks like. Lifting interest rates from nil has produced a … Read more
Signs of disinflation have emerged even as investors fear Federal Reserve Chair Powell and his colleagues will keep battling inflation through aggressive rate hikes that have hurt both stocks and bonds, according to a Capital Economics note. While it appears the Fed may on Wednesday announce that it’s hiking its benchmark rate by three quarters … Read more
Text size The rate on I bonds hit a record 9.6% for bonds purchased starting in May and continuing through the end of October. Dreamstime One of the best current deals in the bond market—Treasury Series I savings bonds—is likely to get less attractive in November when a new rate on the popular investments is … Read more