The DC-based Institute for the Study of War concluded that “Ukrainian armed forces have defeated the first Russian campaign of this war,” in a review published Saturday. The New York Times reported.
The assessment states that Russia had failed in its initial goal of quickly taking Kiev and other major cities and overthrowing the Ukrainian government, and that it is “highly unlikely” that Russian forces will capture these important targets if they persevere in their efforts. current strategy.
“The doctrinal Russian response,” the review concluded, would be for Russian forces to pause and regroup rather than “continue to feed small assemblies of reinforcements in an ongoing effort to keep the current campaign alive.”
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin made similar remarks in Bulgaria on Saturday. “I think [Russia] foresaw that they would move quickly and very quickly capture the capital. They couldn’t do that,” he said, according to CNN.
Speaking to the nation on Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said more than 14,000 Russian troops have been killed since the invasion began on February 24. The US estimates the number of Russian military dead at about 7,000.
“In places where there is particularly fierce fighting, the front line of our defense is simply filled with the corpses of Russian soldiers,” Zelensky said.
Kori Schake, director of foreign and defense policy at the right-wing American Enterprise Institute, wrote: The Washington Post on Thursday that “the shortcomings of the Russian army are exacerbating the damage and risks of the war”.
Schake argued that “Russia’s first recourse to remedy deficiencies was to shift its focus from attacking military forces to targeting the civilian population indiscriminately.”
On Saturday, the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights was able to confirm that 847 Ukrainian civilians were killed in the fighting, although the report also says the “OHCHR believes the actual numbers are significantly higher”.
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